Alcoyano vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1989 |
TOR
1 - 1
ALC
32%
29%
38%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
ALC
3 - 2
MAN
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
ELD
2 - 2
ALC
50%
27%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
ALC
2 - 0
CFC
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
ALC
2 - 1
ORI
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
VIL
1 - 2
IBI
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1989 |
FCB
5 - 1
VIL
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
VIL
1 - 2
GIR
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
ALZ
2 - 0
VIL
58%
25%
18%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
VIL
0 - 1
GAN
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |