Alcoyano vs Villajoyosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALC
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALC
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALC
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 2
CAR
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
ALC
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villajoyosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VIJ
2 - 1
UDL
38%
27%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
VIJ
2 - 0
UDL
33%
26%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
VIJ
1 - 1
ALC
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 2
VIJ
49%
27%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 1
VIJ
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |