Alcoyano vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 2
ALC
29%
30%
41%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
LLE
2 - 2
ALC
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
4 - 1
ONT
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
NOV
76%
17%
7%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ATB
1 - 1
ALC
36%
28%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 0
CON
58%
24%
19%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 3
OLI
36%
29%
36%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ONT
0 - 0
VAL
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 0
ATB
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
HOS
1 - 0
VAL
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |