Alcoyano vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
CEU
3 - 1
ALC
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAS
44%
27%
30%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
RJA
2 - 0
ALC
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
26%
28%
46%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
BUR
0 - 0
ALC
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1967 |
VAL
4 - 0
CAD
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
LEV
2 - 1
VAL
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1967 |
VAL
1 - 0
PUE
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
MUR
3 - 1
VAL
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
VAL
1 - 2
GIM
84%
10%
6%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |