Alcoyano vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
MEL
5 - 1
ALC
64%
18%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
ALC
5 - 0
ORI
73%
16%
12%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
HER
3 - 1
ALC
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
ALC
3 - 0
MLL
60%
20%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1952 |
GRA
4 - 0
ALC
43%
23%
34%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1952 |
VAL
2 - 1
ORI
76%
14%
10%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1952 |
VAL
6 - 2
RCD
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1952 |
VAL
3 - 0
MLL
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
BAL
1 - 3
VAL
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1952 |
VAL
3 - 0
PUL
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |