Alcoyano vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
FCB
4 - 0
ALC
79%
12%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
ALC
2 - 1
SAB
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
CEL
5 - 1
ALC
77%
13%
10%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
GIM
3 - 1
ALC
54%
20%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
ALC
1 - 0
DEP
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
VCF
7 - 0
GIM
76%
13%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
DEP
1 - 2
VCF
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
VCF
4 - 4
RMA
68%
17%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
OVI
2 - 1
VCF
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
VCF
4 - 1
ESP
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |