Alcoyano vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ORI
1 - 0
ALC
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 1
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
BUR
0 - 0
ALC
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
GRA
0 - 1
ALC
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
UBC
1 - 0
VAL
54%
25%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
NOJ
1 - 2
UBC
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CFP
2 - 2
UBC
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
UBC
2 - 0
QRE
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
LSO
0 - 1
UBC
11%
24%
65%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |