Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-2
Alcoyano vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
TOM
1 - 1
ALC
23%
21%
56%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
GIM
4 - 3
ALC
54%
20%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
ALC
3 - 0
SAB
60%
20%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
ALC
3 - 1
OVI
42%
22%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
ATH
6 - 1
ALC
79%
12%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
TOM
1 - 1
ALC
23%
21%
56%
|
41 | 77 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
GIM
3 - 0
TOM
37%
22%
42%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
TOM
5 - 1
CDB
63%
18%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
PUL
2 - 1
TOM
67%
16%
17%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
TOM
5 - 0
ALB
68%
17%
16%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |