Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Alcoyano vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
RMC
0 - 2
ALC
64%
19%
17%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ATB
1 - 1
ALC
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ALC
3 - 1
GRA
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SAB
0 - 1
ALC
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 3
HOS
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
RMC
0 - 2
ALC
64%
19%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
GET
0 - 0
RMC
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
RMC
3 - 1
RVB
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CDB
1 - 3
RMC
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
RMC
6 - 0
MON
75%
16%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |