Alcoyano vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BAD
0 - 0
ALC
44%
29%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 0
SAB
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
OLO
1 - 1
ALC
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 1
ELC
25%
28%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LLE
1 - 0
ALC
52%
27%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ZAR
0 - 1
BAD
23%
27%
51%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ONT
0 - 5
ZAR
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ZAR
1 - 0
SAG
17%
24%
59%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ATB
2 - 0
ZAR
66%
21%
14%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ZAR
0 - 1
PXD
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |