Alcoyano vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
ATH
6 - 1
ALC
79%
12%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
ALC
0 - 2
VCF
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
ESP
2 - 2
ALC
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
ALC
1 - 0
ATM
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
SEV
2 - 0
ALC
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
SAB
1 - 2
OVI
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
OVI
2 - 2
ATH
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
VCF
6 - 1
OVI
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
OVI
0 - 0
ESP
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
ATM
4 - 0
OVI
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |