Alcoyano vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1953 |
VAL
3 - 0
ALC
66%
18%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
ALC
6 - 3
MEL
62%
19%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
ORI
1 - 3
ALC
41%
22%
37%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
ALC
2 - 4
HER
64%
19%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
MLL
1 - 0
ALC
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
MLL
4 - 0
MUR
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
MUR
0 - 0
BAL
67%
17%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
RJA
3 - 2
MUR
64%
18%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAT
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
ORI
1 - 3
MUR
53%
22%
26%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | +1 |