Alcoyano vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
ATM
5 - 1
ALC
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
ALC
0 - 1
ATH
22%
21%
57%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
SEV
7 - 1
ALC
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
ALC
0 - 1
DEP
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
FCB
6 - 0
ALC
84%
10%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
MUR
3 - 2
LLE
67%
18%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
VCF
2 - 0
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
MUR
2 - 5
RMA
23%
22%
55%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
RSO
7 - 0
MUR
73%
15%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
MUR
0 - 0
ESP
46%
23%
31%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |