Alcoyano vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
ZAR
4 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
ALC
2 - 1
CON
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
VCF
2 - 0
ALC
90%
7%
3%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
ALC
2 - 1
VCF
21%
20%
59%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
JFC
2 - 1
ALC
70%
16%
14%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
MUR
3 - 1
CUL
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
ARE
0 - 1
MUR
40%
25%
36%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
SDC
1 - 1
MUR
60%
20%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
MUR
0 - 0
JFC
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
ELC
1 - 0
MUR
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |