Alcoyano vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
ALC
4 - 0
JFC
51%
21%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
ELC
1 - 0
ALC
50%
21%
29%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
ALC
2 - 0
MAL
47%
22%
31%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
CAD
1 - 0
ALC
70%
16%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
ALC
2 - 0
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
MUR
1 - 1
SDC
62%
19%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
JFC
3 - 0
MUR
51%
22%
27%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
MUR
4 - 0
ELC
77%
13%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
MAL
4 - 1
MUR
52%
23%
26%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
MUR
5 - 0
CAD
65%
18%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |