Alcoyano vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
HER
1 - 3
ALC
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
ALC
0 - 0
MLL
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
CDT
1 - 0
ALC
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
CAD
2 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
ALC
2 - 1
LEV
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
RJA
3 - 2
CAD
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
LEV
1 - 0
RJA
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
RJA
1 - 0
PUE
35%
29%
35%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
MUR
0 - 0
RJA
71%
19%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
RJA
0 - 0
GRA
30%
30%
40%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |