Alcoyano vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
ALC
3 - 0
DEP
51%
24%
26%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
MLL
3 - 0
ALC
30%
33%
37%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
ALC
0 - 0
PON
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
RSO
1 - 2
ALC
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
ALC
3 - 1
OLI
87%
9%
4%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
PBL
0 - 2
CDO
56%
26%
18%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
ALB
3 - 1
PBL
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
PBL
1 - 3
GRA
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
MLL
3 - 3
PBL
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
CCF
1 - 1
PBL
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |