Alcoyano vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
ORI
1 - 3
ALC
41%
22%
37%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
ALC
2 - 4
HER
64%
19%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
MLL
1 - 0
ALC
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
ALC
3 - 2
BAL
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
RJA
5 - 0
ALC
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1953 |
PUL
2 - 1
MEL
51%
22%
27%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
MEL
1 - 1
MLL
67%
17%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
MEL
1 - 0
RCD
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1953 |
VAL
2 - 2
MEL
63%
19%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
BAL
3 - 0
MEL
54%
21%
25%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |