Alcoyano vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1988 |
ALC
2 - 0
OLI
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
ALC
1 - 0
GAN
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
ALG
0 - 1
ALC
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
OLI
1 - 1
ALC
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
UBC
0 - 3
ALC
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1988 |
LOR
3 - 1
POL
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALG
45%
29%
26%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
NUL
2 - 1
LOR
44%
31%
25%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
POL
2 - 1
LOR
61%
24%
16%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
LOR
1 - 0
AGD
32%
33%
35%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |