Alcoyano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 0
ALC
18%
27%
55%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CDE
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
RCD
0 - 2
ALC
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 2
PRA
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
HOS
2 - 1
ALC
23%
28%
50%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
VIL
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
LEV
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 0
HER
18%
27%
55%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
CDE
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
RCD
2 - 2
HER
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |