Alcoyano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
TOR
2 - 0
ALC
31%
29%
40%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
ALC
3 - 0
ELD
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
AMA
1 - 1
ALC
45%
29%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
ALC
1 - 0
CFC
46%
27%
26%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALC
48%
28%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
HER
1 - 0
ALG
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
NUL
1 - 0
HER
25%
30%
45%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1988 |
HER
0 - 2
ARO
80%
13%
8%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
HER
2 - 1
LEV
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
GAN
1 - 3
HER
34%
30%
36%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |