Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-3
Alcoyano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
UDC
1 - 1
ALC
58%
25%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
UDQ
2 - 0
ALC
44%
29%
28%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ALC
0 - 0
GAN
61%
24%
15%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
ALM
0 - 0
ALC
54%
28%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
ALC
3 - 1
ACE
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
HER
4 - 0
ALM
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
FCB
2 - 0
HER
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
HER
2 - 2
RAY
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
VCF
0 - 0
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
HER
2 - 1
ATH
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |