Alcoyano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
PUL
3 - 0
ALC
76%
14%
10%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
ALC
3 - 0
XER
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
SFE
3 - 0
ALC
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
LEV
2 - 0
ALC
76%
14%
10%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
CDB
6 - 0
ALC
75%
15%
11%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
HER
3 - 1
ELD
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
EXT
2 - 1
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
HER
1 - 3
REC
82%
11%
7%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
SDC
2 - 1
HER
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
HER
1 - 0
CDT
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |