Alcoyano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
CDB
2 - 1
ALC
60%
20%
20%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ALC
0 - 0
GRA
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
MLL
0 - 0
ALC
56%
21%
23%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
ALC
4 - 3
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
ALC
2 - 0
VAL
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
CAS
2 - 0
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
HER
5 - 0
MLL
72%
16%
13%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
GRA
1 - 2
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
HER
3 - 3
CDB
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
HER
2 - 1
MUR
68%
18%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |