Alcoyano vs Hércules analysis

Alcoyano Hércules
72 ELO 64
-10% Tilt 5.9%
2108º General ELO ranking 2003º
71º Country ELO ranking 68º
ELO win probability
57.3%
Alcoyano
19.3%
Draw
23.4%
Hércules

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
Alcoyano
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23.4%
Win probability
Hércules
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Alcoyano
Hércules
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alcoyano
Alcoyano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 1949
MUR
Real Murcia
3 - 1
Alcoyano
ALC
47%
22%
31%
72 65 7 0
11 Dec. 1949
ALC
Alcoyano
2 - 1
Granada
GRA
51%
22%
26%
72 72 0 0
04 Dec. 1949
RCD
RCD Córdoba
5 - 3
Alcoyano
ALC
39%
25%
37%
73 57 16 -1
27 Nov. 1949
ALC
Alcoyano
3 - 1
Albacete
ALB
78%
13%
9%
72 52 20 +1
20 Nov. 1949
ALC
Alcoyano
3 - 0
Levante
LEV
63%
18%
18%
72 58 14 0

Matches

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 1949
HER
Hércules
1 - 2
AD Plus Ultra
PUL
81%
12%
8%
66 52 14 0
11 Dec. 1949
ELC
Elche
2 - 2
Hércules
HER
30%
23%
47%
66 44 22 0
04 Dec. 1949
HER
Hércules
4 - 1
Cartagena CF
CAR
82%
11%
7%
66 43 23 0
20 Nov. 1949
BAL
RB Linense
2 - 2
Hércules
HER
33%
23%
44%
66 48 18 0
13 Nov. 1949
HER
Hércules
2 - 0
Albacete
ALB
78%
13%
9%
66 50 16 0