Alcoyano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
ALC
2 - 2
RMA
28%
23%
49%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
OVI
1 - 1
ALC
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
ALC
2 - 0
ESP
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
ALB
1 - 0
ALC
26%
22%
53%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
SEV
2 - 0
ALC
73%
15%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
HER
8 - 2
MUR
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
MAL
1 - 0
HER
62%
18%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
HER
0 - 1
RCF
67%
17%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
GRA
2 - 1
HER
51%
20%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
HER
4 - 1
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |