Alcoyano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
ALC
2 - 3
SDC
43%
22%
35%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
MUR
3 - 0
ALC
78%
13%
9%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
HER
3 - 0
MUR
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
JFC
1 - 0
HER
33%
23%
44%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
ATH
2 - 2
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
HER
2 - 2
GRA
58%
21%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
RSO
2 - 1
HER
46%
21%
32%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |