Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-7
Alcoyano vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.5%
12.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
ALC
5 - 0
GRA
66%
18%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
ALC
5 - 1
RCD
63%
19%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
MUR
0 - 1
ALC
64%
19%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
ALC
3 - 1
VAL
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
MEL
5 - 1
ALC
64%
18%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
ALC
5 - 0
GRA
66%
18%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
GRA
3 - 1
MLL
52%
22%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
GRA
5 - 1
RCD
50%
23%
28%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
BAL
3 - 1
GRA
64%
18%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
ORI
3 - 0
GRA
38%
22%
41%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |