Alcoyano vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
SPO
1 - 1
ALC
69%
16%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ALC
1 - 2
SEV
27%
21%
52%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
CAS
2 - 1
ALC
63%
18%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
ALC
4 - 2
CEL
43%
21%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
HER
1 - 0
ALC
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
RMA
0 - 0
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ESP
2 - 2
SPO
55%
21%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
SEV
1 - 0
ESP
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
ESP
4 - 1
CAS
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
CEL
4 - 1
ESP
60%
19%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |