Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-3
Alcoyano vs Eldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
LLE
3 - 0
ALC
49%
28%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
ALC
1 - 1
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
ELD
1 - 1
ALC
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
MNC
3 - 1
ALC
21%
32%
47%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
ALC
2 - 0
EUR
71%
19%
11%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
CDB
2 - 0
ELD
62%
23%
16%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
ELD
0 - 0
CFC
29%
29%
42%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
ELD
1 - 1
ALC
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
MEL
2 - 1
ELD
54%
26%
20%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
ELD
2 - 0
RAC
45%
28%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |