Alcoyano vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
BUR
2 - 2
ALC
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
ALC
1 - 1
CEL
29%
30%
42%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
SEV
1 - 1
ALC
78%
16%
6%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
ALC
1 - 0
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
ALC
1 - 0
MLL
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
ELC
2 - 1
SDI
65%
20%
16%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
VAL
3 - 1
ELC
76%
16%
9%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
ELC
5 - 0
VAD
30%
27%
42%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
RCF
2 - 1
ELC
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
BET
0 - 0
ELC
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | +1 |