Alcoyano vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 2
ALC
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
ALC
6 - 1
ZAR
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
CON
1 - 0
ALC
74%
15%
11%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
OSA
3 - 1
ALC
70%
16%
14%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
ALC
0 - 0
BET
46%
22%
32%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
CUL
4 - 3
ARE
72%
15%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
CUL
0 - 1
MUR
50%
21%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CUL
74%
15%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1944 |
CON
1 - 0
CUL
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
CUL
4 - 1
OSA
64%
18%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |