Alcoyano vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1943 |
VCF
2 - 0
ALC
90%
7%
3%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
ALC
2 - 1
VCF
21%
20%
59%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
JFC
2 - 1
ALC
70%
16%
14%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
ALC
3 - 2
ELC
60%
19%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
MAL
3 - 2
ALC
75%
14%
11%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1943 |
JFC
4 - 1
CON
53%
21%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1943 |
CON
2 - 1
JFC
63%
19%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
SAB
2 - 1
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
CON
2 - 1
SAB
52%
22%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
CON
3 - 1
OSA
53%
21%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |