Alcoyano vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
RON
1 - 0
ALC
33%
29%
38%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
ALC
0 - 2
AMA
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
ELD
1 - 1
ALC
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1988 |
ALC
2 - 1
MEL
75%
18%
7%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
ALB
4 - 0
ALC
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
CIE
2 - 2
TER
43%
29%
27%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
UBC
0 - 2
CIE
68%
21%
11%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
CIE
1 - 3
VIL
43%
29%
28%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1988 |
LOR
0 - 0
CIE
56%
25%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
CIE
0 - 2
ALZ
29%
30%
41%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | -1 |