Alcoyano vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
36%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
HER
1 - 0
ALC
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
ALC
3 - 3
FCB
27%
22%
51%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
OVI
3 - 2
ALC
79%
12%
9%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
ALC
1 - 0
MUR
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
ALC
1 - 2
VCF
28%
23%
50%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
CEL
4 - 1
ESP
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
SPO
2 - 1
CEL
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
CEL
4 - 0
SEV
47%
23%
31%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
CAS
2 - 1
CEL
52%
21%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
CEL
3 - 0
RMA
45%
22%
33%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |