Alcoyano vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
CAD
1 - 0
ALC
70%
16%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
ALC
2 - 0
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
ALC
2 - 3
SDC
43%
22%
35%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
MUR
3 - 0
ALC
78%
13%
9%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
MAL
4 - 1
MUR
52%
23%
26%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
JFC
4 - 3
MAL
62%
20%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
MAL
2 - 1
ELC
77%
13%
10%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
SDC
1 - 0
MAL
63%
19%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
GRA
2 - 1
MAL
78%
13%
9%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |