Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-4
Alcoyano vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
PBL
2 - 0
ALC
51%
26%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
ALC
1 - 0
ATB
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
LEV
2 - 0
ALC
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
ALC
2 - 1
ONT
40%
27%
32%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
TER
1 - 0
ALC
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
CAS
2 - 1
RAC
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
ELC
2 - 0
CAS
53%
28%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
CAS
1 - 0
OVI
57%
26%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
RAY
1 - 4
CAS
52%
28%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
CAS
2 - 0
MLL
54%
27%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |