Alcoyano vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
ALC
2 - 0
VAL
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
XER
2 - 0
ALC
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
BAL
1 - 0
ALC
60%
20%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDT
64%
19%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
ALC
4 - 1
UDL
62%
20%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
MLL
5 - 2
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
CAS
3 - 1
UDL
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
CAS
2 - 0
CDT
39%
24%
36%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
XER
5 - 2
CAS
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAS
79%
13%
9%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |