Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-5
Alcoyano vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
CAS
3 - 0
ALC
77%
14%
9%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
ESP
7 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
ALC
3 - 1
OSA
62%
19%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
BET
3 - 3
ALC
70%
17%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
ALC
1 - 0
JFC
56%
21%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
CAS
3 - 0
ALC
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
RSO
2 - 3
CAS
43%
22%
35%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
CAS
3 - 2
ATM
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAS
53%
21%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
CAS
1 - 2
SEV
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |