Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Alcoyano vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
ALC
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAB
0 - 0
ALC
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ALC
4 - 1
ORI
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ONT
1 - 0
ALC
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALZ
66%
22%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
ALC
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CAR
5 - 1
UDV
68%
20%
11%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
CAR
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 1
UDF
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RMC
0 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
17%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |