Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-4
Alcoyano vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
3.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
ALC
2 - 0
LIN
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
UNI
2 - 0
ALC
22%
27%
51%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
ALC
2 - 0
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
CAF
1 - 3
ALC
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
ALC
3 - 0
PUL
87%
9%
4%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
BAR
2 - 0
CDG
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
CFP
1 - 0
BAR
36%
27%
38%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
BAR
1 - 0
ALA
25%
28%
47%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
SPO
1 - 1
BAR
18%
26%
57%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
TUR
1 - 0
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |