Alcoyano vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
RCF
1 - 2
ALC
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
ALC
2 - 0
RCD
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
MAL
2 - 2
ALC
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
ALC
1 - 3
HER
65%
18%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
RMA
2 - 0
ALC
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
BAR
4 - 0
ZAR
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
GRA
3 - 1
BAR
77%
14%
10%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
BAR
0 - 1
GIM
50%
22%
27%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
RAC
0 - 2
BAR
82%
11%
7%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
BAR
3 - 1
RUN
88%
8%
4%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | +1 |