Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 5-4
Alcoyano vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
ALC
7 - 1
CÉL
86%
10%
4%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALC
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
CDB
1 - 2
ALC
28%
29%
44%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
ALC
3 - 1
ELD
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1969 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALC
88%
8%
4%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
ALC
6 - 3
SEG
86%
10%
5%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALC
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
PUL
1 - 0
ALC
75%
16%
10%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
ALC
3 - 1
OLI
94%
4%
1%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1969 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALC
88%
8%
4%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |