Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 5-4
Alcoyano vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
IMP
1 - 0
ALC
32%
26%
41%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
CFC
3 - 0
ALC
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
ALC
2 - 5
ALB
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
HER
2 - 0
ALC
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
ALC
3 - 2
NOV
86%
10%
4%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
PLA
2 - 1
ALC
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
ALC
2 - 1
MER
70%
17%
14%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
ALC
2 - 0
VAL
85%
10%
4%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
CDT
1 - 0
ALC
73%
16%
10%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
ALC
4 - 1
QUI
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |