Alcorisa vs Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
LAA
21%
22%
57%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FUE
5 - 1
ALC
72%
17%
11%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 3
MAE
44%
22%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALB
36%
23%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 2
CAS
15%
20%
65%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
CDA
26%
24%
50%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ZAR
5 - 3
HER
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
HER
3 - 3
CDM
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
CDC
1 - 3
HER
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
HER
1 - 4
GIN
23%
23%
55%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |