Alcorisa vs Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
UDM
1 - 0
ALC
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
AND
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ACF
1 - 2
ALC
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ALC
4 - 2
ALF
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LAA
0 - 2
ALC
55%
21%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
HER
4 - 2
CDC
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
HER
3 - 2
CEL
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CDC
3 - 1
HER
76%
15%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
UDS
42%
23%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |