Alcorcón B vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
13º
11º
19
12º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 65 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 37 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
29% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALC
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 2
CVI
51%
24%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 1
ALC
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 2
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 2
ALC
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
TRJ
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
RVB
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
TRC
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |