Alcione vs Seravezza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
RIM
1 - 0
ALC
75%
17%
8%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ALC
6 - 1
34%
23%
44%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +4 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 1
ACA
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
RAV
1 - 0
ALC
82%
14%
5%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 3
COR
31%
22%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Seravezza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
COR
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FAN
2 - 0
SER
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
USR
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
MEZ
0 - 0
SER
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SER
3 - 1
PRO
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |