Alcione vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
ALC
48%
24%
29%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
ALC
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
ASD
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
BAG
1 - 1
ALC
20%
22%
58%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ALC
7 - 3
LEN
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
REN
15%
23%
63%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOL
48%
26%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
USP
0 - 1
FOL
31%
27%
43%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
DES
1 - 1
FOL
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |