Alcione vs Club Milano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ALC
3 - 3
PRO
43%
23%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 1
CAS
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 1
DES
57%
21%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
ALC
21%
25%
55%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ALC
3 - 1
ARC
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Club Milano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 1
MIL
70%
18%
12%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |